A Primer on Calculating Election Audit Confidence
elections
I've received a number of questions from people over the past few months about how to go about calculating confidence levels of election audits... some feel that the math is beyond them when it's really not that complicated. Really, it's not that hard and you too can do it if you can multiply and divide (or, better yet, use a spreadsheet program).
Anyway, I've made an effort to synthesize the math behind election audit confidence and present it to lay persons in this primer:
A Quick Primer on The Mathematics of Post-Election Audit Confidence
http://www.josephhall.org/eamath/eamath.pdf
Let me know if it's still over your head, if you don't understand something or if you feel that I've made stuff too simple or made mistakes.